MD 1108 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 364... FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1108
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0134 AM CDT Wed Jun 04 2025
Areas affected...Central and Northeast Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...
Valid 040634Z - 040830Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364
continues.
SUMMARY...A threat for isolated large hail and wind damage may
continue over the next few hours across central and northeast Texas.
The severe threat is expected to be too isolated for weather watch
issuance.
DISCUSSION...A line of strong to severe storms is currently ongoing
from the northern Texas Hill Country northeastward to southeast of
the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. The southwestern part of the line
is near a cold front, with surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F. The
very moist airmass is contributing to moderate instability, with a
narrow axis of instability axis located just ahead of the front.
Near the instability axis, the KGRK WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 Km shear in
the 30 to 35 knot range, with winds veering from south to west from
the surface to 2 km above ground level. This should continue to
support an isolated severe threat over the next few hours, as the
line move southward across the Texas Hill Country. The primary mode
is expected to be linear, which will be favor isolated damaging wind
gusts along short bowing segments. Hail will also be possible with
the more intense cores embedded in the line.
..Broyles.. 06/04/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 31719820 31379935 31219968 30929992 30679993 30429983
30089945 30099876 30389776 31219617 31909526 32499484
32939477 33349498 33469525 33399552 33159581 32489644
31949753 31719820
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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