MD 1842 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1842
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0106 PM CDT Thu Aug 06 2026
Areas affected...portions of the Carolinas and southern Virginia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 061806Z - 062000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms to increase in coverage
through the afternoon with localized damaging wind potential.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage though the
afternoon across the Carolinas into southern Virginia. Daytime
heating has allowed for temperatures in the mid 80s to 90s F. This
is contributing to steepening low-level lapse rates and moderate
instability. Though deep layer flow is weak, the steep low-level
lapse rates and very moist profiles may support a few instances of
wet microbursts. Overall, this potential is expected to remain
fairly isolated, precluding the need for a watch.
..Thornton/Gleason.. 08/06/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...RLX...CAE...
GSP...MRX...FFC...
LAT...LON 36348196 38278016 38057920 37727812 37427773 37117750
34897896 33208063 33328176 33758266 35028317 36348196
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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MD 1841 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC
Mesoscale Discussion 1841
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1239 PM CDT Thu Aug 06 2026
Areas affected...portions of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 061739Z - 061945Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage to increase through the afternoon
with potential for a few isolated instances of damaging wind.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to steadily increase
through the afternoon, aided by daytime heating and moistening near
the surface trough and ascent near the higher terrain. Steep
low-level lapse rates, 20-30 kts of deep layer shear, and moderate
instability will support potential for a few isolated stronger
clusters/segments spreading east with potential for wet downbursts.
This threat is expected to remain too localized to warrant watch
issuance.
..Thornton/Gleason.. 08/06/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...
BUF...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...
LAT...LON 39077944 42927651 44967308 44417171 42617233 38487694
38187753 38047837 37917900 38117950 38207953 39077944
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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